Risk Analysis and Mitigation Strategies in the Flexible Pavement Construction Project of the Radial Road in Surabaya

Abstract

The construction of a 1.7 km radial road in the western area of Surabaya plays a vital role in alleviating traffic congestion and enhancing the efficiency of urban mobility. As a connector between the city center and peripheral zones, the radial road is regarded as a strategic solution to improve interregional connectivity and support sustainable urban development. However, throughout its planning and implementation stages, the project is vulnerable to various risks that may hinder its successful execution. This study aims to analyze the most critical risks among those identified and to evaluate the most appropriate risk response strategies. The research adopts a mixed-methods approach, combining qualitative descriptive analysis and quantitative assessment. Risk identification was carried out by referencing similar infrastructure projects, followed by validation and assessment based on the probability of occurrence and the level of impact. Data were collected through questionnaires, in-depth interviews, and Focus Group Discussions (FGD) involving professionals and stakeholders with direct experience in infrastructure development. Quantitative analysis employed a risk response scenario approach. The findings reveal six major risks with significant influence on project performance: (1) design changes, (2) inadequate data collection and preliminary surveys prior to the design phase, (3) limited access for mobilizing materials and heavy equipment, (4) unresolved land compensation involving both private and public properties, (5) temporary work stoppages due to community protests, and (6) overlapping activities from private sector projects within the same area. These findings serve as the basis for developing more effective risk mitigation strategies to ensure that the project is implemented in a timely, efficient, and sustainable manner.